By World Bank
Over the following 25 years constructing nations will circulation to heart degree within the international financial system. worldwide financial customers 2007 analyzes the possibilities - and stresses - it will create. whereas wealthy and terrible international locations alike stand to profit, the mixing approach will make extra acute stresses already obvious this day - in source of revenue inequality, in hard work markets, and within the environment.Over the subsequent 25 years, fast technological growth, burgeoning exchange in items and companies, and integration of economic markets create the chance for speedier long term progress. besides the fact that, a few areas, significantly Africa, are susceptible to being left behind.The coming globalization also will see intensified stresses at the ''global commons''. Addressing worldwide warming, protecting marine fisheries, and containing infectious illnesses would require powerful multilateral collaboration to make sure that monetary development and poverty relief continue with out inflicting irreparable damage to destiny generations.
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Extra resources for Global Economic Prospects: Managing the Next Wave of Globalization
Reflecting strong investment and remittance flows from high-income oil exporters and the Euro Area, output among regional oil importers has strengthened. For the year as a whole, output is expected to come in at 5 percent. Strong Suez Canal revenues in the Arab Republic of Egypt, better crops following a drought in the Maghreb, hefty tourism receipts throughout the region, and a pickup in European demand are additional factors explaining this relative strength. An exception is Lebanon, where the war and political uncertainty weighed heavily on activity in the first three quarters.
Stock markets also underwent a major correction. However, the improved fiscal stance and reduced indebtedness of many countries meant that the region was not particularly affected by this episode. Risk premia, after rising somewhat, have once again declined and currently are just 20 points above their historical minimums. Prospects for countries in the region reflect a number of offsetting influences. The projected slowdown in global activity is expected to moderate demand for commodities, resulting in a modest decline in their prices and slower volume growth.
Stronger sales of cars to the United States and oil exports also contributed. Brazil, too, benefited from a more relaxed monetary policy stance, although real interest rates remain high at 11 percent. 5 percent. In contrast, demand in Argentina and República Bolivariana de Venezuela, which had been expanding at unsustainable rates, slowed. 5 percent, respectively, well beyond potential. Unsurprisingly in these conditions, inflation has picked up and now exceeds 10 percent in both countries. In each case, this surge occurred despite price freezes in a number of sectors that are hurting sectoral investment and supply (inflation of uncontrolled goods and services is running at 16 percent in Argentina).